Q: 14
Matthew Emery, CFA, is responsible for analyzing companies in the retail industry. He is currently
reviewing the status of Ferguson Department Stores, Inc. (FDS). FDS has recently gone through
extensive restructuring in the wake of a slowdown in the economy that has made retailing
particularly challenging. As part of his analysis, Emery has gathered information from a number of
sources.
Ferguson Department Stores, Inc.
FDS went public in 1969 following a major acquisition, and the Ferguson name quickly became one
of the most recognized in retailing. Ferguson had been successful through most of its first 30 years in
business and has prided itself on being the one-stop shopping destination for consumers living on
the West Coast of the United States. Recently, FDS began to experience both top and bottom line
difficulties due to increased competition from specialty retailers who could operate more efficiently
and offer a wider range of products in a focused retailing sector. When the company's main bank
reduced FDS's line of credit, a serious working capital crisis ensued, and the company was forced to
issue additional equity in an effort to overcome the problem. FDS has a cost of capital of 10% and a
required rate of return on equity of 12%. Dividends are growing at a rate of 8%, but the growth rate
is expected to decline linearly over the next six years to a long-term growth rate of 4%. The company
recently paid an annual dividend of $1.
At the end of 2008, FDS announced that it would be expanding its retail operations, moving to a
warehouse concept, and opening new stores around the country. FDS also announced it would close
some existing stores, write-down assets, and take a large restructuring charge. Upon reviewing the
prospects of the firm, Emery issued an earnings per share forecast for 2009 of $0.90. He set a 12-
month share price target of $22.50. Immediately following the expansion announcement, the share
price of FDS jumped from $14 to $18.
In 2008, FDS also reported an unusual expense of $189.1 million related to restructuring costs and
asset write downs.
In response to questions from a colleague, Emery makes the following statements regarding the
merits of earnings yield compared to the P/E ratio:
Statement 1: For ranking purposes, earnings yield may be useful whenever earnings are either
negative or close to zero.
Statement 2: A high E/P implies the security is overpriced.
According to FDS's price-to-sales ratio for 2008, based on the post-expansion announcement stock
price, FDS is:
In 2008, FDS also reported an unusual expense of $189.1 million related to restructuring costs and
asset write downs.
In response to questions from a colleague, Emery makes the following statements regarding the
merits of earnings yield compared to the P/E ratio:
Statement 1: For ranking purposes, earnings yield may be useful whenever earnings are either
negative or close to zero.
Statement 2: A high E/P implies the security is overpriced.
According to FDS's price-to-sales ratio for 2008, based on the post-expansion announcement stock
price, FDS is:Options
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