Decision tree analysis is a technique that uses a graphical representation of various possible

outcomes and consequences of different courses of action, based on their probabilities of occurrence

and associated payoffs or costs. It can help the project team to compare and evaluate the

alternatives and choose the optimal one. In this case, the risk manager should use decision tree

analysis to help the team members predict the outcomes of their potential choices following their

probability of occurrence. Political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental

(PESTLE) analysis, strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis, and cost-

benefit analysis are not techniques that can directly help the team members to predict the outcomes

of their potential choices following their probability of occurrence, and are therefore not the best

answer. Reference: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Exam Content Outline1, PMI

Practice Standard for Project Risk Management2, Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Cert

Guide3