Q: 1
SIMULATION
Currency Options and Currency Swaps are instruments used in foreign exchange. Explain the
advantages of using these derivatives compared to the use of spot transactions
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Q: 2
SIMULATION
Explain 5 reasons why exchange rates can be volatile
Five Reasons Why Exchange Rates Can Be Volatile
Introduction
Exchange rates are constantly fluctuating due to economic, political, and market forces. Volatility in
exchange rates affects global trade, procurement costs, and business profitability. Companies
engaged in international supply chains or global expansion must understand the factors that drive
currency fluctuations to manage risks effectively.
This answer explores five key reasons why exchange rates experience volatility.
1. Interest Rate Differentials 🔹(Monetary Policy Impact)
Explanation
Central banks set interest rates to control inflation and economic growth. Countries with higher
interest rates attract foreign investment, increasing demand for their currency.
✅ How It Causes Volatility?
Rising interest rates → Attracts foreign investors → Currency appreciates 🔹
Falling interest rates → Reduces investment appeal → Currency depreciates 🔹
🔹Example: When the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the US dollar strengthens as investors
move capital to USD-based assets.
🔹Key Takeaway: Exchange rates fluctuate as investors adjust capital flows based on interest rate
expectations.
2. Inflation Rates 🔹(Purchasing Power Impact)
Explanation
Inflation reduces the value of money, leading to lower purchasing power. Countries with high
inflation tend to see their currency weaken, while those with low inflation maintain a stronger
currency.
✅ How It Causes Volatility?
High inflation → Reduces confidence in currency → Depreciation 🔹
Low inflation → Increases currency stability → Appreciation 🔹
🔹Example: The Turkish Lira has depreciated significantly due to high inflation rates, making imports
expensive.
🔹Key Takeaway: Inflation affects the real value of money, influencing exchange rate stability.
3. Speculation and Market Sentiment 🔹(Investor Behavior Impact)
Explanation
Foreign exchange markets (Forex) are driven by investor speculation. Traders buy and sell currencies
based on market trends, geopolitical risks, and economic forecasts.
✅ How It Causes Volatility?
If investors expect a currency to strengthen, they buy more → Increases demand and value 🔹
If investors lose confidence, they sell off holdings → Causes depreciation 🔹
🔹Example: In 2016, after the Brexit referendum, speculation about the UK economy caused the British
pound (GBP) to drop sharply.
🔹Key Takeaway: Investor behavior and speculation create short-term exchange rate volatility.
4. Political Instability & Economic Uncertainty 🔹️ (Government Policies & Geopolitics)
Explanation
Political uncertainty and economic instability weaken investor confidence, leading to capital flight
from riskier currencies. Countries with stable governments and strong economies maintain more
stable exchange rates.
✅ How It Causes Volatility?
Political crises, elections, or policy changes → Uncertainty → Currency depreciation 🔹
Stable governance and economic reforms → Confidence → Currency appreciation 🔹
🔹Example:
Argentina’s peso lost value due to economic instability and high debt.
Switzerland’s Swiss Franc (CHF) remains strong due to political stability and its reputation as a "safe-
haven" currency.
🔹Key Takeaway: Political and economic uncertainty increase exchange rate volatility by influencing
investor confidence.
5. Trade Balances & Current Account Deficits 🔹(Export-Import Impact)
Explanation
The balance of trade (exports vs. imports) impacts currency demand. Countries that export more
than they import experience higher demand for their currency, leading to appreciation. Conversely,
nations with large trade deficits see their currencies depreciate.
✅ How It Causes Volatility?
Trade surplus (more exports) → Demand for local currency rises → Appreciation 🔹
Trade deficit (more imports) → Increased need for foreign currency → Depreciation 🔹
🔹Example:
China’s trade surplus strengthens the Chinese Yuan (CNY).
The US dollar fluctuates based on its import-export trade balance.
🔹Key Takeaway: Exchange rates shift as global trade patterns change, affecting currency demand.
Conclusion
Exchange rate volatility is driven by economic, financial, and political factors:
1️⃣ Interest Rates – Higher rates attract investment, strengthening currency.
2️⃣ Inflation Rates – High inflation erodes value, weakening currency.
3️⃣ Speculation & Market Sentiment – Investor behavior influences short-term fluctuations.
4️⃣ Political & Economic Uncertainty – Instability causes capital flight and depreciation.
5️⃣ Trade Balances & Deficits – Export-driven economies see appreciation, while import-heavy
nations experience depreciation.
Understanding these drivers helps businesses manage currency risks when engaging in global
procurement, contracts, and financial planning.
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Q: 3
SIMULATION
XYZ is a large technology organisation which has used an aggressive growth strategy to become the
market leader. It frequently buys out smaller firms to add to its increasing portfolio of businesses.
How could XYZ use the Kachru Parenting Matrix to assist in decision making regarding future
investments?
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Q: 4
SIMULATION
Examine how an organisation can strategically position itself within the marketplace.
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Q: 5
SIMULATION
XYZ is a large and successful airline which is looking to expand into a new geographical market. It
currently offers short haul flights in Europe and wishes to expand into the Asian market. In order to
do this, the CFO is considering medium/ long term financing options. Describe 4 options that could
be used.
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Q: 6
SIMULATION
XYZ is a toilet paper manufacturer based in the UK. It has 2 large factories employing over 500 staff
and a complex supply chain sourcing paper from different forests around the world. XYZ is making
some strategic changes to the way it operates including changes to staffing structure and introducing
more automation. Discuss 4 causes of resistance to change that staff at XYZ may experience and
examine how the CEO of XYZ can successfully manage this resistance to change
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Q: 7
SIMULATION
XYZ is a construction firm which builds houses in Birmingham. Discuss a tool that it can use to assess
the remote environment and discuss a tool it can use to evaluate the operating environment.
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Q: 8
SIMULATION
Assess benchmarking as an approach to analysing an organisations performance.
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Q: 9
SIMULATION
Evaluate the following approaches to supply chain management: the Business Excellence Model,
Top-Down Management Approach and Six Sigma
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