1. ISO 31000:2018, Risk management — Guidelines, Clause 3.1, "Terms and definitions". This clause explicitly defines risk as the "effect of uncertainty on objectives."
2. ISO 31000:2018, Risk management — Guidelines, Clause 4, "Principles". This section lists "Human and cultural factors" as a key principle, and Clause 6.3, "Establishing the context," mandates consideration of both external and internal environments.
3. Purdy, G. (2010). ISO 31000:2009—Setting a new standard for risk management. Risk Analysis: An International Journal, 30(6), 881-886. On page 882, the author states, "The most important feature of the new definition is that risk is defined in relation to uncertainty..." This peer-reviewed article confirms that uncertainty is the core concept. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01442.x
4. Lalonde, C., & Boiral, O. (2012). Managing risks through ISO 31000: A critical analysis. Risk Management, 14(4), 272-300. The paper discusses how the standard frames risk management as a process to deal with uncertainty, stating, "the ISO 31000 standard defines risk as the 'effect of uncertainty on objectives'" (p. 275). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/rm.2012.9